Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.770784 4.354516 4.999368 5.764738 6.648698 7.637981 8.829810
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.032730 3.806936 4.735842 5.933208 7.437273 9.266251 11.662992
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.396501 3.234319 4.314316 5.810177 7.831978 10.475326 14.203800
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.910920 2.750715 3.904650 5.608758 8.067716 11.497826 16.665888
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.641484 2.505048 3.762375 5.730542 8.744576 13.204425 20.340607
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.373152 2.209767 3.493649 5.612811 9.038782 14.388269 23.431521
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.258212 2.126826 3.526397 5.953038 10.078619 16.850786 28.900219
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.138370 2.013728 3.489200 6.166739 10.936301 19.137249 34.439457
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.006939 1.858037 3.353968 6.186225 11.455376 20.915419 39.367785
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.850349 1.631880 3.060075 5.872964 11.322188 21.507661 42.215126
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.793442 1.581061 3.075159 6.131562 12.287348 24.247989 49.553840
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.763272 1.576552 3.175321 6.566522 13.655405 27.949166 59.369175
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.701361 1.502494 3.135479 6.729317 14.531629 30.869208 68.208721
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.634922 1.408860 3.042507 6.768084 15.157731 33.378207 76.621659
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.554254 1.271867 2.838017 6.533304 15.151068 34.532377 82.223764
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.481619 1.141268 2.627618 6.250812 14.988585 35.309227 87.077234
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.445261 1.088888 2.585285 6.351633 15.738928 38.301117 97.776295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.397110 1.000788 2.446914 6.199811 15.852994 39.796942 105.012814
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.384265 0.997774 2.511762 6.562116 17.312101 44.825979 122.246939
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.364646 0.974454 2.522981 6.789006 18.458873 49.244735 138.642192
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.336395 0.924120 2.458129 6.804936 19.046440 52.294126 151.810571
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.294958 0.831831 2.270193 6.456750 18.577765 52.423759 156.700529
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.284246 0.823164 2.305632 6.739233 19.940093 57.850993 178.122031